The final Premier League standings are predicted by a supercomputer, and there is nothing between Arsenal and Manchester City.
As the Premier League nears the end of the season, the stakes are higher than ever, and one prediction has thrown up some surprises along the way.
Based on the most recent Premier League fixtures, a supercomputer has predicted the final Premier League standings, and the title race between Arsenal and Manchester City is expected to go down to the wire.
FiveThirtyEight explains that “SPI ratings are our best estimate of a team’s overall strength,” “In our system, each team has an offensive rating that represents the number of goals it should score against an average team on a neutral field, and a defensive rating that represents the number of goals it should concede.”
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“These ratings, in turn, produce an overall SPI rating, which represents the percentage of available points the team would be expected to take if that match were played over and over again.”
Having said that, the supercomputer predicts that Arsenal has a 51% chance of winning the Premier League, while Manchester City has a 49% chance, implying that there isn’t much to choose between the two sides vying for the title.
City, which currently has 64 points, is expected to reach 87 points, while Arsenal is expected to finish with 88. However, in the game between the two sides on April 26 at the Etihad Stadium, Manchester City are clear favorites.
With a 59% chance of winning the game, compared to Arsenal’s 25%, the reigning champions are expected to make the title race even more interesting.
Newcastle United and Manchester United are both heavily favored to finish in the top four and qualify for the Champions League, with Brighton expected to finish ahead of Tottenham in fifth place. According to FiveThirtyEight, Liverpool is ranked seventh.
Southampton, on the other hand, are the team most likely to be relegated, with the Saints expected to collect only 32 points. Following that appears to be anyone’s guess, but the supercomputer predicts Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth will join them in the Championship next season.
Indeed, Forest are expected to finish with 34 points, while Bournemouth will finish with 36 – the same as Everton and Leicester City, though the latter two will stay up due to their superior goal difference.
Of course, this is football, and anything can happen, so don’t be surprised if this supercomputer makes a huge mistake. Let the season come to an end.
Final Premier League 2022/23 table (according to FiveThirthyEight)
1. Arsenal (88 pts)
2. Manchester City (87 pts)
3. Newcastle United (70 pts)
4. Manchester United (70 pts)
5. Brighton and Hove Albion (64 pts)
6. Tottenham Hotspur (63 pts)
7. Liverpool (62 pts)
8. Aston Villa (56 pts)
9. Brentford (55 pts)
10. Chelsea (52 pts)
11. Fulham (50 pts)
12. Crystal Palace (43 pts)
13. Leeds United (40 pts)
14. West Ham United (39 pts)
15. Wolves (38 pts)
16. Leicester City (36 pts)
17. Everton (36 pts)
18. AFC Bournemouth (36 pts)
19. Nottingham Forest (34 pts)
20. Southampton (32 pts)
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